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Home » Predictions » Others » Ibiza Islas Pitiusas x UE Olot Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 07h00 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3
Ibiza Islas Pitiusas Ibiza Islas Pitiusas
PREDICTION No tip
UE Olot UE Olot
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Ibiza Islas Pitiusas x UE Olot Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3

Our betting tip for Ibiza Islas Pitiusas x UE Olot, Sunday, 29/9/2024
📅 29/9/2024
07:00
Ibiza Islas Pitiusas Ibiza Islas Pitiusas
1.96
X
3.10
UE Olot UE Olot
3.50

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Ibiza Islas Pitiusas x UE Olot:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Ibiza Islas Pitiusas x UE Olot

Some important points for the tip for Ibiza Islas Pitiusas x UE Olot:

👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, UE Olot conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Ibiza Islas Pitiusas x UE Olot for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3 – 29 of September

🏟️ Ibiza Islas Pitiusas X UE Olot – Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3
📅 29 of September, 2024 – 07:00
🔵 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas – Winning probability: 48.41% | Fair line: 2.07
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 32.70% | Fair line: 3.06
🔴 UE Olot – Winning probability: 18.89% | Fair line: 5.29
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Ibiza Islas Pitiusas x UE Olot is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Ibiza Islas Pitiusas x UE Olot

Is betting on Ibiza Islas Pitiusas worth it?

🔵 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 48.41% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.96. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 480 times – having a profit of $460.80;
  • And would have lost other 520 times – with a loss of -$520.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$59.20.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.7% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $693.00;
  • And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$23.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it worth betting on UE Olot?

🔴 UE Olot: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.89% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 190 times – profiting $475.00;
  • And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$335.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Ibiza Islas Pitiusas x UE Olot

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ibiza Islas Pitiusas x UE Olot

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 UE Olot.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ibiza Islas Pitiusas x UE Olot

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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