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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» IFK Goteborg x Hammarby Betting tips for March 9 in Sweden Cup
Sunday, 09 March 2025, 12h00 Sweden Cup
IFK Goteborg IFK Goteborg
PREDICTION No tip
Hammarby Hammarby
Don't miss this prediction!

IFK Goteborg x Hammarby Betting tips for March 9 in Sweden Cup

Our betting tip for IFK Goteborg x Hammarby, Sunday, 9/3/2025
πŸ“… 9/3/2025
12:00
IFK Goteborg IFK Goteborg
2.52
X
3.20
Hammarby Hammarby
2.50

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for IFK Goteborg x Hammarby:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for IFK Goteborg x Hammarby

Some important points for the tip for IFK Goteborg x Hammarby:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Hammarby in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-380.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the home team, IFK Goteborg scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 head-to-head matches between IFK Goteborg x Hammarby, with IFK Goteborg as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, IFK Goteborg conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Hammarby.

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Summary

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Analysis from IFK Goteborg x Hammarby for the Sweden Cup – 9 of March

🏟️ IFK Goteborg X Hammarby – Sweden Cup
πŸ“… 9 of March, 2025 – 12:00
πŸ”΅ IFK Goteborg – Winning probability: 35.64% | Fair line: 2.81
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.95% | Fair line: 4.77
πŸ”΄ Hammarby – Winning probability: 43.41% | Fair line: 2.3
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 IFK Goteborg
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for IFK Goteborg x Hammarby right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1277138 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for IFK Goteborg x Hammarby

Should you bet on IFK Goteborg?

πŸ”΅ IFK Goteborg: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 35.64%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.52. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 360 times – having a profit of $547.20;
  • And would lose other 640 times – having a loss of -$640.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$92.80.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.95% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $462.00;
  • And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$328.00.

Is it worth betting on Hammarby?

πŸ”΄ Hammarby: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 43.41% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 430 times – profiting $645.00;
  • And would lose other 570 times – having a loss of -$570.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$75.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

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Handicaps analysis for the match IFK Goteborg x Hammarby

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 IFK Goteborg
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for IFK Goteborg x Hammarby

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 IFK Goteborg and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 IFK Goteborg.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 IFK Goteborg.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for IFK Goteborg x Hammarby

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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