IFK Norrkoping x Sirius Betting tips for October 3 in Sweden Allsvenskan

Our betting tip for IFK Norrkoping x Sirius, Thursday, 3/10/2024

📅 3/10/2024 14:00

IFK Norrkoping 2.75

X 3.55

Sirius 2.30

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for IFK Norrkoping x Sirius:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for IFK Norrkoping x Sirius

The main points for the tip for IFK Norrkoping x Sirius: 👉 If you had bet $100 on IFK Norrkoping in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $183.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Sirius in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $217.0. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, IFK Norrkoping scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between IFK Norrkoping x Sirius, with IFK Norrkoping as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 IFK Norrkoping matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, IFK Norrkoping conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Sirius conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, IFK Norrkoping conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Sirius.

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on IFK Norrkoping x Sirius?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on IFK Norrkoping x Sirius, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from IFK Norrkoping x Sirius for the Sweden Allsvenskan – 3 of October

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for IFK Norrkoping x Sirius right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1194161 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for IFK Norrkoping x Sirius

Is it worth betting on IFK Norrkoping?

🔵 IFK Norrkoping: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.1% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 300 times – profiting $525.00;
• And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$175.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.3% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.55. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 230 times – profiting $586.50;
• And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$183.50.

Is it worth betting on Sirius?

🔴 Sirius: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 46.6% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 470 times – this would give you a profit of $611.00
• And would have lost other 530 times – with a loss of -$530.00 because of them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$81.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Handicaps analysis for the match IFK Norrkoping x Sirius

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 IFK Norrkoping
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for IFK Norrkoping x Sirius

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 IFK Norrkoping, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 IFK Norrkoping.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for IFK Norrkoping x Sirius

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.75 goals.