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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» IFK Varnamo x Djurgarden Betting tips for September 29 in Sweden Allsvenskan
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 09h00 Sweden Allsvenskan
IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo
PREDICTION No tip
Djurgarden Djurgarden
Don't miss this prediction!

IFK Varnamo x Djurgarden Betting tips for September 29 in Sweden Allsvenskan

Our betting tip for IFK Varnamo x Djurgarden, Sunday, 29/9/2024
πŸ“… 29/9/2024
09:00
IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo
3.50
X
3.30
Djurgarden Djurgarden
2.01

Our algorithm has selected this tip for IFK Varnamo x Djurgarden:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for IFK Varnamo x Djurgarden

Important information for your tip for IFK Varnamo x Djurgarden:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on IFK Varnamo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-250.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Djurgarden in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $310.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 Djurgarden matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Djurgarden conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on IFK Varnamo x Djurgarden?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on IFK Varnamo x Djurgarden, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from IFK Varnamo x Djurgarden for the Sweden Allsvenskan – 29 of September

🏟️ IFK Varnamo X Djurgarden – Sweden Allsvenskan
πŸ“… 29 of September, 2024 – 09:00
πŸ”΅ IFK Varnamo – Winning probability: 28.02% | Fair line: 3.57
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.24% | Fair line: 3.54
πŸ”΄ Djurgarden – Winning probability: 43.74% | Fair line: 2.29
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 IFK Varnamo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between IFK Varnamo and Djurgarden.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for IFK Varnamo x Djurgarden

Should you bet on IFK Varnamo?

πŸ”΅ IFK Varnamo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.02%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $700.00;
  • And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$20.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.24%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $644.00;
  • And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$76.00.

Is it worth betting on Djurgarden?

πŸ”΄ Djurgarden: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 43.74%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.01. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 440 times – this would give you a profit of $444.40
  • And would have lost other 560 times – with a loss of -$560.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$115.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match IFK Varnamo x Djurgarden

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 IFK Varnamo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for IFK Varnamo x Djurgarden

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 IFK Varnamo, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 IFK Varnamo.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for IFK Varnamo x Djurgarden

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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