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Home » Predictions » Others » Illescas x Union Sur Yaiza Betting tips for January 12 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
Sunday, 12 January 2025, 10h30 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
Illescas Illescas
PREDICTION Illescas wins Probability 65% 1 X 2
Union Sur Yaiza Union Sur Yaiza
ODD: @2.05 Don't miss this prediction!

Illescas x Union Sur Yaiza Betting tips for January 12 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5

Our betting tip for Illescas x Union Sur Yaiza, Sunday, 12/1/2025
📅 12/1/2025
10:30
Illescas Illescas
2.05
X
2.90
Union Sur Yaiza Union Sur Yaiza
3.60

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Illescas x Union Sur Yaiza:

🔮 Illescas wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Illescas, you can win up to $1025.00!

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Important information for your tip for Illescas x Union Sur Yaiza:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Illescas in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $18.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Union Sur Yaiza in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Union Sur Yaiza scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Union Sur Yaiza matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Union Sur Yaiza conceded at least 2 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Illescas x Union Sur Yaiza for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 – 12 of January

🏟️ Illescas X Union Sur Yaiza – Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
📅 12 of January, 2025 – 10:30
🔵 Illescas – Winning probability: 65.91% | Fair line: 1.52
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.57% | Fair line: 4.86
🔴 Union Sur Yaiza – Winning probability: 13.52% | Fair line: 7.4
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Illescas
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Illescas x Union Sur Yaiza is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1244844 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Illescas x Union Sur Yaiza

Should you bet on Illescas?

🔵 Illescas: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 65.91%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.05. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 660 times – having a profit of $693.00;
  • And would have lost other 340 times – with a loss of -$340.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$353.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.57%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $399.00
  • And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$391.00.

Is it worth betting on Union Sur Yaiza?

🔴 Union Sur Yaiza: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 13.52% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 140 times – profiting $364.00;
  • And would have lost other 860 times – with a loss of -$860.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$496.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Illescas x Union Sur Yaiza

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Illescas
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Illescas x Union Sur Yaiza

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Illescas and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Illescas.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Illescas x Union Sur Yaiza

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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