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Home Β» Predictions Β» Imperatriz x Sampaio Correa Betting tips for January 11 in Brazil Campeonato Maranhense
Saturday, 11 January 2025, 19h00 Brazil Campeonato Maranhense
Imperatriz Imperatriz
PREDICTION No tip
Sampaio Correa Sampaio Correa
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Imperatriz x Sampaio Correa Betting tips for January 11 in Brazil Campeonato Maranhense

Our betting tip for Imperatriz x Sampaio Correa, Saturday, 11/1/2025
πŸ“… 11/1/2025
19:00
Imperatriz Imperatriz
3.30
X
3.15
Sampaio Correa Sampaio Correa
2.00

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Imperatriz x Sampaio Correa:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Imperatriz x Sampaio Correa

Some important points for the tip for Imperatriz x Sampaio Correa:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Imperatriz in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $58.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Sampaio Correa in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 Sampaio Correa matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Imperatriz x Sampaio Correa, with Imperatriz as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Sampaio Correa conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Imperatriz x Sampaio Correa?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Imperatriz x Sampaio Correa, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Imperatriz x Sampaio Correa for the Brazil Campeonato Maranhense – 11 of January

🏟️ Imperatriz X Sampaio Correa – Brazil Campeonato Maranhense
πŸ“… 11 of January, 2025 – 19:00
πŸ”΅ Imperatriz – Winning probability: 23.73% | Fair line: 4.21
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.25% | Fair line: 3.81
πŸ”΄ Sampaio Correa – Winning probability: 50.02% | Fair line: 2.0
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Imperatriz
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Imperatriz x Sampaio Correa right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1244516 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Imperatriz x Sampaio Correa

Should you bet on Imperatriz?

πŸ”΅ Imperatriz: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.73% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – profiting $552.00;
  • And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$208.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.25%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.15. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $559.00;
  • And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$181.00.

Is it worth betting on Sampaio Correa?

πŸ”΄ Sampaio Correa: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 50.02% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 500 times – having a profit of $500.00;
  • And would lose other 500 times – having a loss of -$500.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$0.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

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Handicaps analysis for the match Imperatriz x Sampaio Correa

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Imperatriz
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Imperatriz x Sampaio Correa

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Imperatriz, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Imperatriz.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Sampaio Correa.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Imperatriz x Sampaio Correa

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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