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Home » Predictions » Independente AP x Santana EC Betting tips for March 9 in Brazil Campeonato Amapaense
Sunday, 09 March 2025, 13h00 Brazil Campeonato Amapaense
Independente AP Independente AP
PREDICTION Independente AP wins Probability 98% 1 X 2
Santana EC Santana EC
ODD: @1.15 Don't miss this prediction!

Independente AP x Santana EC Betting tips for March 9 in Brazil Campeonato Amapaense

Our betting tip for Independente AP x Santana EC, Sunday, 9/3/2025
📅 9/3/2025
13:00
Independente AP Independente AP
1.15
X
7.00
Santana EC Santana EC
10.25

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Independente AP x Santana EC:

🔮 Independente AP wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Independente AP, you can win up to $575.00!

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Important information for your tip for Independente AP x Santana EC:

👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Independente AP scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Independente AP matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Independente AP conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Santana EC conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Independente AP x Santana EC?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Independente AP x Santana EC, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Independente AP x Santana EC for the Brazil Campeonato Amapaense – 9 of March

🏟️ Independente AP X Santana EC – Brazil Campeonato Amapaense
📅 9 of March, 2025 – 13:00
🔵 Independente AP – Winning probability: 98.44% | Fair line: 1.02
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 1.26% | Fair line: 79.67
🔴 Santana EC – Winning probability: 0.31% | Fair line: 326.52
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.0 Independente AP
⚽ Expected goals: 4.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Independente AP x Santana EC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1277138 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Independente AP x Santana EC

Should you bet on Independente AP?

🔵 Independente AP: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 98.44% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.15. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 980 times – having a profit of $147.00;
  • And would lose other 20 times – having a loss of -$20.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$127.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 1.26% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 7.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 10 times – this would give you a profit of $60.00
  • And would have lost other 990 times – with a loss of -$990.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$930.00.

Should you bet on Santana EC?

🔴 Santana EC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 0.31% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 10.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 0 times – having a profit of $0.00;
  • And would lose other 1000 times – having a loss of -$1000.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$1000.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Independente AP x Santana EC

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.0 Independente AP
⚽ Expected goals: 4.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Independente AP x Santana EC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -2.0 Independente AP, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -2.25 Independente AP.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 2.25 Santana EC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Independente AP x Santana EC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 4.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.75 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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