Independiente Juniors x Chacaritas SC Betting tips for April 15 in Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
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15/4/2025 20:30 |
 Independiente Juniors1.86 |
X 3.20 |
Chacaritas SC  3.88 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Independiente Juniors x Chacaritas SC:
๐ฎ Independiente Juniors wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Independiente Juniors, you can win up to $930.00!
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The main points for the tip for Independiente Juniors x Chacaritas SC: ๐ If you had bet $100 on Independiente Juniors in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-352.0. |
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Analysis from Independiente Juniors x Chacaritas SC for the Ecuador LigaPro Serie B – 15 of April
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๐๏ธ Independiente Juniors X Chacaritas SC – Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Independiente Juniors x Chacaritas SC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1304535 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Independiente Juniors x Chacaritas SC
Should you bet on Independiente Juniors?
๐ต Independiente Juniors: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 76.14%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.86. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 760 times – this would give you a profit of $653.60
- And would lose other 240 times – losing -$240.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$413.60.
Is it worth betting on draw?
โช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 16.55%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 170 times – profiting $374.00;
- And would lose other 830 times – having a loss of -$830.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$456.00.
Is betting on Chacaritas SC worth it?
๐ด Chacaritas SC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 7.31% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.88. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 70 times – having a profit of $201.60;
- And would have lost other 930 times – with a loss of -$930.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐ฐ-$728.40.
Handicaps analysis for the match Independiente Juniors x Chacaritas SC
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
โ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Independiente Juniors
โฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Independiente Juniors x Chacaritas SC
โ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Independiente Juniors and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Independiente Juniors. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Independiente Juniors x Chacaritas SC
โฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
