Independiente Medellin x Junior Betting tips for December 7 in Colombia Primera A
| 📅 7/12/2025 19:00 |
 Independiente Medellin2.24 |
X 3.28 |
Junior  3.21 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Independiente Medellin x Junior:
🔮 Independiente Medellin wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Independiente Medellin, you can win up to $1120.00!
Important information for your tip for Independiente Medellin x Junior:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Independiente Medellin in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-160.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Junior in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-175.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Junior scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Junior, Independiente Medellin scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Junior matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Junior conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 road matches, Junior has not lost any of them.
👉 Independiente Medellin has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Junior playing at home.
Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Independiente Medellin x Junior?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Independiente Medellin x Junior, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Independiente Medellin x Junior for the Colombia Primera A – 7 of December
🏟️ Independiente Medellin X Junior – Colombia Primera A
📅 7 of December, 2025 – 19:00
🔵 Independiente Medellin – Winning probability: 63.01% | Fair line: 1.59
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.06% | Fair line: 4.16
🔴 Junior – Winning probability: 12.93% | Fair line: 7.73
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Independiente Medellin
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks
When the best bet on Independiente Medellin x Junior is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1449543 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Latest news on the match between Independiente Medellin and Junior
Independiente Medellín: Independiente Medellín is currently one of the top contenders in Colombias BetPlay League 2025, leading the table as the most prolific attacking team with 34 goals scored and 22 conceded. The club also stands out as the best away team in the competition, accumulating 18 points outside home games, with six wins and no draws; recently, they secured a 3-0 home victory over Atlético Bucaramanga, followed by a 1-1 draw with Santa Fe and a 3-1 win against Fortaleza, positioning themselves strongly in the title race and in the knockout phase of the BetPlay Cup, where a semi-final against Envigado will require at least a draw to advance. Off the field, the club is close to finalizing a historic transfer of 20-year-old full-back Juan Arizala to AC Milan for about €3 million plus a future sale clause, marking one of the biggest sales in Colombian football history, while the squad continues to rely on key forwards like Brayan León and Léider Berrío, despite their pending absences.
Junior de Barranquilla: Junior de Barranquilla is in good form in the 2025‑II BetPlay League, having achieved a 2-1 victory over Atlético Nacional on December 1, 2025, bringing them closer to the grand final, with substitute forward Steven “Titi” Rodríguez playing a decisive role; the team also defeated América 2-1 shortly before, maintaining their leadership in the standings, while coach Alfredo Arias praised the teams character after the win over Nacional. Striker Miguel Borja was seen at the Metropolitano, sparking speculation about a possible return to the club, and midfielder Jannenson Sarmiento is linked to an attractive offer from Liaoning Tieren FC in China, which could lead to his departure. Additionally, the club president, Char, announced that Junior will host their local tournament matches at Romelio Stadium and will play Copa Libertadores matches in Cartagena, awaiting CONMEBOLs requirement of 18,000 spectators.
Tips for the 1×2 market for Independiente Medellin x Junior
Is it worth betting on Independiente Medellin?
🔵 Independiente Medellin: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 63.01% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.24. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 630 times – this would give you a profit of $781.20
- And would lose other 370 times – losing -$370.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$411.20.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.06%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.28. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $547.20
- And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$212.80.
Should you bet on Junior?
🔴 Junior: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 12.93% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.21. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 130 times – having a profit of $287.30;
- And would lose other 870 times – having a loss of -$870.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$582.70.
Handicaps analysis for the match Independiente Medellin x Junior
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Independiente Medellin
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Independiente Medellin x Junior
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Independiente Medellin, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Independiente Medellin.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Independiente Medellin.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Independiente Medellin x Junior
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
