Independiente Rivadavia x CA Estudiantes Caseros Betting tips for April 16 in Argentina Cup
| 📅 16/4/2025 19:10 |
 Independiente Rivadavia1.95 |
X 3.08 |
CA Estudiantes Caseros  4.02 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Independiente Rivadavia x CA Estudiantes Caseros:
🔮 Independiente Rivadavia wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Independiente Rivadavia, you can win up to $975.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Independiente Rivadavia x CA Estudiantes Caseros: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Independiente Rivadavia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $60.0. |
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Analysis from Independiente Rivadavia x CA Estudiantes Caseros for the Argentina Cup – 16 of April
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🏟️ Independiente Rivadavia X CA Estudiantes Caseros – Argentina Cup |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Independiente Rivadavia x CA Estudiantes Caseros right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1304980 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Independiente Rivadavia x CA Estudiantes Caseros
Should you bet on Independiente Rivadavia?
🔵 Independiente Rivadavia: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 65.79%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.95. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 660 times – this would give you a profit of $627.00
- And would lose other 340 times – having a loss of -$340.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$287.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 14.26% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.08. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 140 times – having a profit of $291.20;
- And would have lost other 860 times – with a loss of -$860.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$568.80.
Is it worth betting on CA Estudiantes Caseros?
🔴 CA Estudiantes Caseros: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.96% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.02. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $604.00
- And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$196.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Independiente Rivadavia x CA Estudiantes Caseros
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Independiente Rivadavia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Independiente Rivadavia x CA Estudiantes Caseros
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Independiente Rivadavia, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Independiente Rivadavia.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Independiente Rivadavia.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Independiente Rivadavia x CA Estudiantes Caseros
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
