Independiente Santa Fe x Atletico Bucaramanga Betting tips for December 7 in Colombia Primera A
| 📅 7/12/2025 19:00 |
Independiente Santa Fe2.38 |
X 3.20 |
Atletico Bucaramanga ![]() 3.10 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Independiente Santa Fe x Atletico Bucaramanga:
👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Independiente Santa Fe x Atletico Bucaramanga
The main points for the tip for Independiente Santa Fe x Atletico Bucaramanga:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Independiente Santa Fe in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $55.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Bucaramanga in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-190.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Independiente Santa Fe scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Atletico Bucaramanga, Independiente Santa Fe scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Independiente Santa Fe conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Atletico Bucaramanga.
👉 Independiente Santa Fe has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Atletico Bucaramanga playing at home.
Looking for another bookie to bet on Independiente Santa Fe x Atletico Bucaramanga?
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Analysis from Independiente Santa Fe x Atletico Bucaramanga for the Colombia Primera A – 7 of December
🏟️ Independiente Santa Fe X Atletico Bucaramanga – Colombia Primera A
📅 7 of December, 2025 – 19:00
🔵 Independiente Santa Fe – Winning probability: 45.73% | Fair line: 2.19
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.61% | Fair line: 3.27
🔴 Atletico Bucaramanga – Winning probability: 23.66% | Fair line: 4.23
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Independiente Santa Fe
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Independiente Santa Fe x Atletico Bucaramanga right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1449543 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Latest news on the match between Independiente Santa Fe and Atletico Bucaramanga
Independiente Santa Fe: Independiente Santa Fe wrapped up 2025 with a mixed moment: after winning the Liga BetPlay 2025‑I title, the club celebrated its three stars — Hugo Rodallega, goalkeeper Jorge Bava, and defender Andrés Mosquera Marmolejo — while the second half of the season saw them eliminated in the semifinals of Liga BetPlay 2025‑II after a 1-0 loss to Deportes Tolima in Ibagué and a subsequent defeat to Fortaleza, finishing the group stage with two matches remaining against Fortaleza and Bucaramanga; amidst disappointment, the club confirmed the arrival of Uruguayan coach Pablo Repetto, who will take over on December 9, 2025, after the season ends, with the goal of rebuilding the squad for the 2026 campaign, which includes a hoped-for participation in the Copa Libertadores.
Atlético Bucaramanga: Atlético Bucaramangas campaign in the semifinals of Liga BetPlay II 2025 ended in disappointment after a goalless draw against Deportes Tolima on December 3, 2025, at Estadio Américo Montanini, a result that allowed Tolima to secure a spot in the final of Group B with 11 points, while Bucaramanga remained with eight and was mathematically eliminated from the title race; led by Leonel Álvarez, the “leopardos” had entered the knockout phase needing a win to stay alive, having previously achieved a crucial victory over Fortaleza, but the 0-0 draw and a subsequent loss to Junior confirmed the teams elimination from the title contention.
Tips for the Match Odds market for Independiente Santa Fe x Atletico Bucaramanga
Is it worth betting on Independiente Santa Fe?
🔵 Independiente Santa Fe: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 45.73% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.38. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 460 times – this would give you a profit of $634.80
- And would have lost other 540 times – with a loss of -$540.00 because of them.
Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$94.80, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.61% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 310 times – profiting $682.00;
- And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$8.00.
Is betting on Atletico Bucaramanga worth it?
🔴 Atletico Bucaramanga: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.66% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $504.00;
- And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$256.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Independiente Santa Fe x Atletico Bucaramanga
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Independiente Santa Fe
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Independiente Santa Fe x Atletico Bucaramanga
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Independiente Santa Fe and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Independiente Santa Fe.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Atletico Bucaramanga.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Independiente Santa Fe x Atletico Bucaramanga
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

Independiente Santa Fe