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Home » Predictions » Others » Independiente Santa Fe Women x Orsomarso Women Betting tips for April 14 in Colombia Liga Femenina
Monday, 14 April 2025, 21h00 Colombia Liga Femenina
Independiente Santa Fe Women Independiente Santa Fe Women
PREDICTION Independiente Santa Fe Women wins Probability 89% 1 X 2
Orsomarso Women Orsomarso Women
ODD: @1.37 Don't miss this prediction!

Independiente Santa Fe Women x Orsomarso Women Betting tips for April 14 in Colombia Liga Femenina

Our betting tip for Independiente Santa Fe Women x Orsomarso Women, Monday, 14/4/2025
📅 14/4/2025
21:00
Independiente Santa Fe Women Independiente Santa Fe Women
1.37
X
3.85
Orsomarso Women Orsomarso Women
8.50

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Independiente Santa Fe Women x Orsomarso Women:

🔮 Independiente Santa Fe Women wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Independiente Santa Fe Women, you can win up to $685.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Independiente Santa Fe Women x Orsomarso Women:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Independiente Santa Fe Women in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $112.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Independiente Santa Fe Women scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Orsomarso Women conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Independiente Santa Fe Women is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Independiente Santa Fe Women x Orsomarso Women for the Colombia Liga Femenina – 14 of April

🏟️ Independiente Santa Fe Women X Orsomarso Women – Colombia Liga Femenina
📅 14 of April, 2025 – 21:00
🔵 Independiente Santa Fe Women – Winning probability: 89.53% | Fair line: 1.12
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 8.95% | Fair line: 11.17
🔴 Orsomarso Women – Winning probability: 1.52% | Fair line: 65.97
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Independiente Santa Fe Women
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Independiente Santa Fe Women x Orsomarso Women right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1304036 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Independiente Santa Fe Women x Orsomarso Women

Should you bet on Independiente Santa Fe Women?

🔵 Independiente Santa Fe Women: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 89.53% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.37. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 900 times – this would give you a profit of $333.00
  • And would have lost other 100 times – with a loss of -$100.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$233.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 8.95% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.85. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 90 times – having a profit of $256.50;
  • And would have lost other 910 times – with a loss of -$910.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$653.50.

Is it worth betting on Orsomarso Women?

🔴 Orsomarso Women: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 1.52% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 8.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 20 times – profiting $150.00;
  • And would lose other 980 times – losing -$980.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$830.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Independiente Santa Fe Women x Orsomarso Women

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Independiente Santa Fe Women
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Independiente Santa Fe Women x Orsomarso Women

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Independiente Santa Fe Women, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 Independiente Santa Fe Women.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.25 Orsomarso Women.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Independiente Santa Fe Women x Orsomarso Women

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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