Indy Eleven x Monterey Bay FC Betting tips for July 5 in USA USL Championship

Our betting tip for Indy Eleven x Monterey Bay FC, Saturday, 5/7/2025

📅 5/7/2025 23:30

Indy Eleven 1.65

X 3.70

Monterey Bay FC 4.33

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Indy Eleven x Monterey Bay FC:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Indy Eleven x Monterey Bay FC

Important information for your tip for Indy Eleven x Monterey Bay FC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Indy Eleven in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-250.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Monterey Bay FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 Indy Eleven matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Monterey Bay FC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Monterey Bay FC as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Analysis from Indy Eleven x Monterey Bay FC for the USA USL Championship – 5 of July

When the best bet on Indy Eleven x Monterey Bay FC is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1348834 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Indy Eleven x Monterey Bay FC

Should you bet on Indy Eleven?

🔵 Indy Eleven: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 61.37% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.65. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 610 times – this would give you a profit of $396.50
• And would have lost other 390 times – with a loss of -$390.00 because of them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$6.50. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.98% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $621.00
• And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$149.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Monterey Bay FC?

🔴 Monterey Bay FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.65%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.33. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 160 times – profiting $532.80;
• And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$307.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match Indy Eleven x Monterey Bay FC

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Indy Eleven
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Indy Eleven x Monterey Bay FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Indy Eleven, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Indy Eleven.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Monterey Bay FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Indy Eleven x Monterey Bay FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.