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Home Β» Predictions Β» Inegolspor x Kepez Belediyespor Betting tips for September 29 in Turkey 2 Lig Beyaz
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 10h00 Turkey 2 Lig Beyaz
Inegolspor Inegolspor
PREDICTION No tip
Kepez Belediyespor Kepez Belediyespor
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Inegolspor x Kepez Belediyespor Betting tips for September 29 in Turkey 2 Lig Beyaz

Our betting tip for Inegolspor x Kepez Belediyespor, Sunday, 29/9/2024
πŸ“… 29/9/2024
10:00
Inegolspor Inegolspor
2.15
X
3.11
Kepez Belediyespor Kepez Belediyespor
3.05

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Inegolspor x Kepez Belediyespor:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Inegolspor x Kepez Belediyespor

Important information for your tip for Inegolspor x Kepez Belediyespor:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Inegolspor in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-333.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 Inegolspor matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Kepez Belediyespor conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Inegolspor x Kepez Belediyespor for the Turkey 2 Lig Beyaz – 29 of September

🏟️ Inegolspor X Kepez Belediyespor – Turkey 2 Lig Beyaz
πŸ“… 29 of September, 2024 – 10:00
πŸ”΅ Inegolspor – Winning probability: 43.12% | Fair line: 2.32
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.14% | Fair line: 3.55
πŸ”΄ Kepez Belediyespor – Winning probability: 28.74% | Fair line: 3.48
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Inegolspor
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Inegolspor x Kepez Belediyespor right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Inegolspor x Kepez Belediyespor

Should you bet on Inegolspor?

πŸ”΅ Inegolspor: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 43.12% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.15. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 430 times – profiting $494.50;
  • And would lose other 570 times – losing -$570.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$75.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.14% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.11. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $590.80;
  • And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$129.20.

Should you bet on Kepez Belediyespor?

πŸ”΄ Kepez Belediyespor: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.74% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $594.50
  • And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$115.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Inegolspor x Kepez Belediyespor

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Inegolspor
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Inegolspor x Kepez Belediyespor

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Inegolspor and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Inegolspor. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Inegolspor x Kepez Belediyespor

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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