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22/1/2022 15:00 |
 Ipswich1.75 |
X 3.67 |
Accrington Stanley  4.40 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Ipswich x Accrington Stanley:
๐ฎ Ipswich wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Ipswich, you can win up to $875.00!
๐ Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Ipswich x Accrington Stanley
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Analysis from Ipswich x Accrington Stanley for the England League 1 – 22 of January
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๐๏ธ Ipswich X Accrington Stanley – England League 1 |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Ipswich x Accrington Stanley right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 290605 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Ipswich x Accrington Stanley
Is it worth betting on Ipswich?
๐ต Ipswich: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 62.74% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 630 times – profiting $472.50;
- And would have lost other 370 times – with a loss of -$370.00 because of them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐ฐ$102.50.
Should you bet on draw?
โช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.46% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.67. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $615.25;
- And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$154.75.
Should you bet on Accrington Stanley?
๐ด Accrington Stanley: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 13.8%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 140 times – profiting $476.00;
- And would lose other 860 times – losing -$860.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$384.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Ipswich x Accrington Stanley
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
โ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Ipswich
โฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ipswich x Accrington Stanley
โ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Ipswich and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Ipswich.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Accrington Stanley.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ipswich x Accrington Stanley
โฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.
Our tips are also on YouTube
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
