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17/1/2022 13:00 |
 Ipswich U231.78 |
X 3.75 |
QPR U23  3.35 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Ipswich U23 x QPR U23:
๐ฎ Ipswich U23 wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Ipswich U23, you can win up to $890.00!
๐ Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Ipswich U23 x QPR U23
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Analysis from Ipswich U23 x QPR U23 for the England U23 Development League – 17 of January
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๐๏ธ Ipswich U23 X QPR U23 – England U23 Development League |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Ipswich U23 x QPR U23 right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 288303 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Ipswich U23 x QPR U23
Is it a good idea to bet on Ipswich U23?
๐ต Ipswich U23: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 62.12%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.78. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 620 times – having a profit of $483.60;
- And would lose other 380 times – having a loss of -$380.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐ฐ$103.60.
Should you bet on draw?
โช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.07% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $577.50
- And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐ฐ-$212.50.
Should you bet on QPR U23?
๐ด QPR U23: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.8% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.35. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $399.50;
- And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$430.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Ipswich U23 x QPR U23
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
โ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Ipswich U23
โฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ipswich U23 x QPR U23
โ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Ipswich U23, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Ipswich U23.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 QPR U23.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ipswich U23 x QPR U23
โฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
