📊 Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Isparta 32 Spor x Buca FK
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Analysis from Isparta 32 Spor x Buca FK for the Turkey 2 Lig Beyaz – 16 of January
🏟️ Isparta 32 Spor X Buca FK – Turkey 2 Lig Beyaz
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Isparta 32 Spor x Buca FK right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 288046 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Isparta 32 Spor x Buca FK
Is betting on Isparta 32 Spor worth it?
🔵 Isparta 32 Spor: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 43.96% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.29. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 440 times – this would give you a profit of $569.80
- And would lose other 560 times – having a loss of -$560.00 with them.
Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$9.80, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.0%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.05. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $635.50;
- And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$54.50.
Should you bet on Buca FK?
🔴 Buca FK: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.03% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 250 times – profiting $473.75;
- And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$276.25.
Handicaps analysis for the match Isparta 32 Spor x Buca FK
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Isparta 32 Spor
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Isparta 32 Spor x Buca FK
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Isparta 32 Spor and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Isparta 32 Spor.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Buca FK.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Isparta 32 Spor x Buca FK
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves