Istra 1961 x NK Varazdin Betting tips for May 11 in Croatia HNL
| 📅 11/5/2025 16:15 |
 Istra 19612.00 |
X 2.80 |
NK Varazdin  4.10 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Istra 1961 x NK Varazdin:
🔮 Istra 1961 wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Istra 1961, you can win up to $1000.00!
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The main points for the tip for Istra 1961 x NK Varazdin: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Istra 1961 in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $890.0. |
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Analysis from Istra 1961 x NK Varazdin for the Croatia HNL – 11 of May
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🏟️ Istra 1961 X NK Varazdin – Croatia HNL |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Istra 1961 x NK Varazdin right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1322673 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Istra 1961 x NK Varazdin
Is betting on Istra 1961 worth it?
🔵 Istra 1961: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 51.4% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 510 times – profiting $510.00;
- And would have lost other 490 times – with a loss of -$490.00 because of them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$20.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.63%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 310 times – profiting $558.00;
- And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$132.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on NK Varazdin?
🔴 NK Varazdin: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 17.96% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 180 times – profiting $558.00;
- And would lose other 820 times – having a loss of -$820.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$262.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Istra 1961 x NK Varazdin
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Istra 1961
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Istra 1961 x NK Varazdin
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Istra 1961, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Istra 1961.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Istra 1961 x NK Varazdin
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
