Itabaiana x AD Carmopolis Betting tips for January 11 in Brazil Campeonato Sergipano
| 📅 11/1/2025 23:15 |
 Itabaiana1.37 |
X 4.00 |
AD Carmopolis  7.45 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Itabaiana x AD Carmopolis:
🔮 Itabaiana wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Itabaiana, you can win up to $685.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Itabaiana x AD Carmopolis: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Itabaiana in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-93.0. |
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Analysis from Itabaiana x AD Carmopolis for the Brazil Campeonato Sergipano – 11 of January
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🏟️ Itabaiana X AD Carmopolis – Brazil Campeonato Sergipano |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Itabaiana and AD Carmopolis.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1244796 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Itabaiana x AD Carmopolis
Is it a good idea to bet on Itabaiana?
🔵 Itabaiana: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 88.76% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.37. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 890 times – this would give you a profit of $329.30
- And would lose other 110 times – having a loss of -$110.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$219.30.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 8.56% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 90 times – having a profit of $270.00;
- And would lose other 910 times – having a loss of -$910.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$640.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on AD Carmopolis?
🔴 AD Carmopolis: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 2.69% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 7.45. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 30 times – this would give you a profit of $193.50
- And would lose other 970 times – losing -$970.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$776.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Itabaiana x AD Carmopolis
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Itabaiana
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Itabaiana x AD Carmopolis
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Itabaiana, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 Itabaiana.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.25 AD Carmopolis.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Itabaiana x AD Carmopolis
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
