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Home » Predictions » Others » Itabaiana x Nautico Betting tips for April 13 in Brazil Serie C
Sunday, 13 April 2025, 19h00 Brazil Serie C
Itabaiana Itabaiana
PREDICTION Nautico Wins Probability 44% 1 X 2
Nautico Nautico
ODD: @2.22 Don't miss this prediction!

Itabaiana x Nautico Betting tips for April 13 in Brazil Serie C

Our betting tip for Itabaiana x Nautico, Sunday, 13/4/2025
📅 13/4/2025
19:00
Itabaiana Itabaiana
3.22
X
3.00
Nautico Nautico
2.22

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Itabaiana x Nautico:

🔮 Itabaiana wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Itabaiana, you can win up to $1610.00!

🔮 Nautico wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Nautico, you can win up to $1110.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Itabaiana x Nautico:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Itabaiana in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $94.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Nautico in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $510.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Itabaiana scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Nautico scored at least 1 goal(s).

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Itabaiana x Nautico?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Itabaiana x Nautico, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Itabaiana x Nautico for the Brazil Serie C – 13 of April

🏟️ Itabaiana X Nautico – Brazil Serie C
📅 13 of April, 2025 – 19:00
🔵 Itabaiana – Winning probability: 37.52% | Fair line: 2.67
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 18.24% | Fair line: 5.48
🔴 Nautico – Winning probability: 44.24% | Fair line: 2.26
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Itabaiana
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Itabaiana x Nautico is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1302187 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Itabaiana x Nautico

Is it worth betting on Itabaiana?

🔵 Itabaiana: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 37.52% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.22. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 380 times – profiting $843.60;
  • And would lose other 620 times – having a loss of -$620.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$223.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.24% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $360.00
  • And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$460.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Nautico?

🔴 Nautico: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 44.24% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.22. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 440 times – profiting $536.80;
  • And would lose other 560 times – losing -$560.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$23.20.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Itabaiana x Nautico

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Itabaiana
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Itabaiana x Nautico

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Itabaiana and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Itabaiana.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Itabaiana.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Itabaiana x Nautico

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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