Italy (W) x Serbia (W) Betting tips for June 5 in Womens World Cup Qual

Our betting tip for Italy (W) x Serbia (W), Friday, 5/6/2026

📅 5/6/2026 16:15

Italy (W) 1.13

X 6.72

Serbia (W) 13.01

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Italy (W) x Serbia (W):

🔮 Italy (W) wins the match
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The main points for the tip for Italy (W) x Serbia (W):

👉 If you had bet $100 on Italy (W) in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 4 Italy (W) matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Italy (W) conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from Italy (W) x Serbia (W) for the Womens World Cup Qual – 5 of June

Odds and handicap movements for Italy (W) x Serbia (W)

We will also look at how the odds and handicap have evolved over time. This approach helps capture the market sentiment for the fixture between Italy (W) x Serbia (W).

Below you will find a summary comparing opening odds with current odds in the principal markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.

Tips for the Match Odds market for Italy (W) x Serbia (W)

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Italy (W) and Serbia (W).

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1556497 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Is it a good idea to bet on Italy (W)?

🔵 Italy (W): the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 99.03% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.13. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 990 times – this would give you a profit of $128.70
• And would lose other 10 times – having a loss of -$10.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$118.70.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 0.86% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.72. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 10 times – having a profit of $57.20;
• And would lose other 990 times – losing -$990.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$932.80.

Is it worth betting on Serbia (W)?

🔴 Serbia (W): the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 0.11% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 13.01. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 0 times – having a profit of $0.00;
• And would lose other 1000 times – having a loss of -$1000.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$1000.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Italy (W) x Serbia (W)

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Italy (W)
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Italy (W) x Serbia (W)

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.5 Italy (W), and the current handicap offered by bookies is -2.0 Italy (W).

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 2.0 Serbia (W).

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Italy (W) x Serbia (W)

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

FAQs: Frequently asked questions about the prediction for Italy (W) x Serbia (W)