Ituano x Brusque Betting tips for April 12 in Brazil Serie C

Our betting tip for Ituano x Brusque, Saturday, 12/4/2025

📅 12/4/2025 19:00

Ituano 2.21

X 2.98

Brusque 3.23

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Ituano x Brusque:

🔮 Ituano wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Ituano, you can win up to $1105.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Ituano x Brusque: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Ituano in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $84.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Brusque in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $55.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Brusque scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Brusque, Ituano scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Ituano x Brusque, with Ituano as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 Brusque is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 3 wins in a row in its last road matches. 👉 Ituano has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Brusque playing at home.

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Analysis from Ituano x Brusque for the Brazil Serie C – 12 of April

When the best bet on Ituano x Brusque is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1301554 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Ituano x Brusque

Is it worth betting on Ituano?

🔵 Ituano: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 52.28% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.21. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 520 times – profiting $629.20;
• And would have lost other 480 times – with a loss of -$480.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$149.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.85% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.98. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $356.40
• And would lose other 820 times – having a loss of -$820.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$463.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on Brusque?

🔴 Brusque: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.87%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.23. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $669.00
• And would lose other 700 times – losing -$700.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$31.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Ituano x Brusque

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Ituano
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ituano x Brusque

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Ituano, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Ituano.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Brusque.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ituano x Brusque

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.