Ituano x Ponte Preta Betting tips for May 12 in Brazil Serie C

Our betting tip for Ituano x Ponte Preta, Monday, 12/5/2025

📅 12/5/2025 22:30

Ituano 2.48

X 2.85

Ponte Preta 2.90

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Ituano x Ponte Preta:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Ituano x Ponte Preta

Some important points for the tip for Ituano x Ponte Preta: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Ituano in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $116.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Ponte Preta in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $875.0. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Ponte Preta scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Ponte Preta conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from Ituano x Ponte Preta for the Brazil Serie C – 12 of May

When the best bet on Ituano x Ponte Preta is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1323394 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Ituano x Ponte Preta

Is it worth betting on Ituano?

🔵 Ituano: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.79%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.48. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $458.80
• And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$231.20.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 37.1% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.85. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 370 times – profiting $684.50;
• And would lose other 630 times – losing -$630.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$54.50, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it worth betting on Ponte Preta?

🔴 Ponte Preta: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.11% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 320 times – this would give you a profit of $608.00
• And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$72.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Ituano x Ponte Preta

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Ituano
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ituano x Ponte Preta

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Ituano, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Ituano.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Ituano.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ituano x Ponte Preta

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.