Izarra x UD Logrones Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2
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29/9/2024 12:00 |
 Izarra3.35 |
X 3.00 |
UD Logrones  2.05 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Izarra x UD Logrones:
π Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Izarra x UD Logrones
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Important information for your tip for Izarra x UD Logrones: π If you had bet $100 on Izarra in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $165.0. |
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Analysis from Izarra x UD Logrones for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2 – 29 of September
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ποΈ Izarra X UD Logrones – Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2 |
When the best bet on Izarra x UD Logrones is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1190630 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Izarra x UD Logrones
Is betting on Izarra worth it?
π΅ Izarra: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 15.46% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.35. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 150 times – profiting $352.50;
- And would lose other 850 times – having a loss of -$850.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of π°-$497.50.
Is betting on draw worth it?
βͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 34.09% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 340 times – profiting $680.00;
- And would lose other 660 times – having a loss of -$660.00 with them.
Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just π°$20.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.
Is betting on UD Logrones worth it?
π΄ UD Logrones: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 50.44%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 500 times – profiting $525.00;
- And would have lost other 500 times – with a loss of -$500.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of π°-$25.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Izarra x UD Logrones
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
β Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Izarra
β½ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Izarra x UD Logrones
β Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Izarra, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Izarra.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 UD Logrones.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Izarra x UD Logrones
β½ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
