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Home » Predictions » Others » Jagiellonia Bialystok x Radomiak Radom Betting tips for February 2 in Poland Ekstraklasa
Sunday, 02 February 2025, 13h45 Poland Ekstraklasa
Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok
PREDICTION Jagiellonia Bialystok wins Probability 71% 1 X 2
Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom
ODD: @1.71 Don't miss this prediction!

Jagiellonia Bialystok x Radomiak Radom Betting tips for February 2 in Poland Ekstraklasa

Our betting tip for Jagiellonia Bialystok x Radomiak Radom, Sunday, 2/2/2025
📅 2/2/2025
13:45
Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok
1.71
X
3.85
Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom
4.20

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Jagiellonia Bialystok x Radomiak Radom:

🔮 Jagiellonia Bialystok wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Jagiellonia Bialystok, you can win up to $855.00!

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The main points for the tip for Jagiellonia Bialystok x Radomiak Radom:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Radomiak Radom in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $355.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Radomiak Radom, Jagiellonia Bialystok scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Jagiellonia Bialystok conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Radomiak Radom.

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Summary

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Analysis from Jagiellonia Bialystok x Radomiak Radom for the Poland Ekstraklasa – 2 of February

🏟️ Jagiellonia Bialystok X Radomiak Radom – Poland Ekstraklasa
📅 2 of February, 2025 – 13:45
🔵 Jagiellonia Bialystok – Winning probability: 71.74% | Fair line: 1.39
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 12.55% | Fair line: 7.97
🔴 Radomiak Radom – Winning probability: 15.72% | Fair line: 6.36
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Jagiellonia Bialystok
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Jagiellonia Bialystok x Radomiak Radom right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1255121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Jagiellonia Bialystok x Radomiak Radom

Should you bet on Jagiellonia Bialystok?

🔵 Jagiellonia Bialystok: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 71.74%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.71. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 720 times – profiting $511.20;
  • And would lose other 280 times – losing -$280.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$231.20.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 12.55% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.85. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 130 times – profiting $370.50;
  • And would lose other 870 times – losing -$870.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$499.50.

Should you bet on Radomiak Radom?

🔴 Radomiak Radom: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.72% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 160 times – profiting $512.00;
  • And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$328.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Jagiellonia Bialystok x Radomiak Radom

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Jagiellonia Bialystok
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Jagiellonia Bialystok x Radomiak Radom

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Jagiellonia Bialystok, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Jagiellonia Bialystok.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Jagiellonia Bialystok x Radomiak Radom

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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