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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Jaguares de Cordoba x Envigado FC Betting tips for October 2 in Colombia Cup
Wednesday, 02 October 2024, 20h00 Colombia Cup
Jaguares de Cordoba Jaguares de Cordoba
PREDICTION Jaguares de Cordoba wins Probability 59% 1 X 2
Envigado FC Envigado FC
ODD: @1.99 Don't miss this prediction!

Jaguares de Cordoba x Envigado FC Betting tips for October 2 in Colombia Cup

Our betting tip for Jaguares de Cordoba x Envigado FC, Wednesday, 2/10/2024
๐Ÿ“… 2/10/2024
20:00
Jaguares de Cordoba Jaguares de Cordoba
1.99
X
2.99
Envigado FC Envigado FC
4.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Jaguares de Cordoba x Envigado FC:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Jaguares de Cordoba wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Jaguares de Cordoba, you can win up to $995.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Jaguares de Cordoba x Envigado FC:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Jaguares de Cordoba in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-315.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Envigado FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Jaguares de Cordoba conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Envigado FC conceded at least 2 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Jaguares de Cordoba has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Envigado FC playing at home.
๐Ÿ‘‰ It is not a good time for Envigado FC as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Jaguares de Cordoba x Envigado FC?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Jaguares de Cordoba x Envigado FC, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Jaguares de Cordoba x Envigado FC for the Colombia Cup – 2 of October

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Jaguares de Cordoba X Envigado FC – Colombia Cup
๐Ÿ“… 2 of October, 2024 – 20:00
๐Ÿ”ต Jaguares de Cordoba – Winning probability: 59.40% | Fair line: 1.68
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.29% | Fair line: 4.29
๐Ÿ”ด Envigado FC – Winning probability: 17.32% | Fair line: 5.77
โš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Jaguares de Cordoba
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Jaguares de Cordoba x Envigado FC is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1193870 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Jaguares de Cordoba x Envigado FC

Is betting on Jaguares de Cordoba worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Jaguares de Cordoba: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 59.4% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.99. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 590 times – having a profit of $584.10;
  • And would have lost other 410 times – with a loss of -$410.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$174.10.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.29%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.99. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $457.70;
  • And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$312.30.

Is it a good idea to bet on Envigado FC?

๐Ÿ”ด Envigado FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.32%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $510.00;
  • And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$320.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Jaguares de Cordoba x Envigado FC

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Jaguares de Cordoba
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Jaguares de Cordoba x Envigado FC

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Jaguares de Cordoba, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Jaguares de Cordoba.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Envigado FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Jaguares de Cordoba x Envigado FC

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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