Jaguares de Cordoba x Junior Betting tips for September 29 in Colombia Primera A

Our betting tip for Jaguares de Cordoba x Junior, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 18:10

Jaguares de Cordoba 3.00

X 2.91

Junior 2.39

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Jaguares de Cordoba x Junior:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Jaguares de Cordoba x Junior

Important information for your tip for Jaguares de Cordoba x Junior: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Jaguares de Cordoba in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-315.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Junior in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-100.0. 👉 In the last 7 Junior matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Jaguares de Cordoba x Junior, with Jaguares de Cordoba as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Jaguares de Cordoba conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from Jaguares de Cordoba x Junior for the Colombia Primera A – 29 of September

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Jaguares de Cordoba and Junior.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1191083 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Jaguares de Cordoba x Junior

Is betting on Jaguares de Cordoba worth it?

🔵 Jaguares de Cordoba: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.26% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $340.00
• And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$490.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 33.35% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.91. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $630.30
• And would lose other 670 times – having a loss of -$670.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$39.70. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is betting on Junior worth it?

🔴 Junior: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 49.39% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.39. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 490 times – having a profit of $681.10;
• And would lose other 510 times – losing -$510.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$171.10. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Handicaps analysis for the match Jaguares de Cordoba x Junior

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Jaguares de Cordoba
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Jaguares de Cordoba x Junior

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Jaguares de Cordoba, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Jaguares de Cordoba.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Jaguares de Cordoba.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Jaguares de Cordoba x Junior

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.