Jiangxi Lushan x Beijing Institute Betting tips for April 13 in China Division 2

Our betting tip for Jiangxi Lushan x Beijing Institute, Sunday, 13/4/2025

📅 13/4/2025 07:30

Jiangxi Lushan 1.76

X 3.07

Beijing Institute 4.60

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Jiangxi Lushan x Beijing Institute:

🔮 Jiangxi Lushan wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Jiangxi Lushan, you can win up to $880.00!

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The main points for the tip for Jiangxi Lushan x Beijing Institute: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Jiangxi Lushan in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $25.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Beijing Institute in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Jiangxi Lushan scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Beijing Institute, Jiangxi Lushan scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 Jiangxi Lushan matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Jiangxi Lushan x Beijing Institute, with Jiangxi Lushan as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Playing as the home team, Jiangxi Lushan conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Beijing Institute. 👉 Jiangxi Lushan has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Beijing Institute playing at home.

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Analysis from Jiangxi Lushan x Beijing Institute for the China Division 2 – 13 of April

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Jiangxi Lushan and Beijing Institute.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1302086 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Jiangxi Lushan x Beijing Institute

Is it worth betting on Jiangxi Lushan?

🔵 Jiangxi Lushan: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 63.06% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.76. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 630 times – having a profit of $478.80;
• And would lose other 370 times – having a loss of -$370.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$108.80.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.45%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.07. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $476.10;
• And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$293.90.

Is betting on Beijing Institute worth it?

🔴 Beijing Institute: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 13.49% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 130 times – this would give you a profit of $468.00
• And would lose other 870 times – having a loss of -$870.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$402.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Jiangxi Lushan x Beijing Institute

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Jiangxi Lushan
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Jiangxi Lushan x Beijing Institute

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Jiangxi Lushan, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Jiangxi Lushan.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Jiangxi Lushan.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Jiangxi Lushan x Beijing Institute

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.