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Home » Predictions » Others » Retro FC Brasil x Tombense MG Betting tips for April 13 in Brazil Serie C
Sunday, 13 April 2025, 19h00 Brazil Serie C
Retro FC Brasil Retro FC Brasil
PREDICTION Retro FC Brasil wins Probability 62% 1 X 2
Tombense MG Tombense MG
ODD: @2.22 Don't miss this prediction!

Retro FC Brasil x Tombense MG Betting tips for April 13 in Brazil Serie C

Our betting tip for Retro FC Brasil x Tombense MG, Sunday, 13/4/2025
📅 13/4/2025
19:00
Retro FC Brasil Retro FC Brasil
2.22
X
3.12
Tombense MG Tombense MG
3.00

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Retro FC Brasil x Tombense MG:

🔮 Retro FC Brasil wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Retro FC Brasil, you can win up to $1110.00!

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Important information for your tip for Retro FC Brasil x Tombense MG:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Retro FC Brasil in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-97.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Tombense MG in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-77.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Retro FC Brasil scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Retro FC Brasil conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Tombense MG conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Retro FC Brasil x Tombense MG for the Brazil Serie C – 13 of April

🏟️ Retro FC Brasil X Tombense MG – Brazil Serie C
📅 13 of April, 2025 – 19:00
🔵 Retro FC Brasil – Winning probability: 62.96% | Fair line: 1.59
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 14.53% | Fair line: 6.88
🔴 Tombense MG – Winning probability: 22.52% | Fair line: 4.44
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Retro FC Brasil
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Retro FC Brasil x Tombense MG is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1302187 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Retro FC Brasil x Tombense MG

Is it worth betting on Retro FC Brasil?

🔵 Retro FC Brasil: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 62.96%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.22. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 630 times – having a profit of $768.60;
  • And would have lost other 370 times – with a loss of -$370.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$398.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 14.53%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.12. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 150 times – profiting $318.00;
  • And would lose other 850 times – losing -$850.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$532.00.

Is betting on Tombense MG worth it?

🔴 Tombense MG: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.52% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – profiting $460.00;
  • And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$310.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Retro FC Brasil x Tombense MG

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Retro FC Brasil
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Retro FC Brasil x Tombense MG

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Retro FC Brasil, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Retro FC Brasil.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Retro FC Brasil.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Retro FC Brasil x Tombense MG

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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