JK Tallinna Kalev x Parnu JK Vaprus Betting tips for June 14 in Estonia Meistriliiga
| 📅 14/6/2025 11:30 |
 JK Tallinna Kalev3.00 |
X 3.72 |
Parnu JK Vaprus  1.97 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for JK Tallinna Kalev x Parnu JK Vaprus:
🔮 Parnu JK Vaprus wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Parnu JK Vaprus, you can win up to $985.00!
Some important points for the tip for JK Tallinna Kalev x Parnu JK Vaprus:
👉 If you had bet $100 on JK Tallinna Kalev in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $700.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Parnu JK Vaprus in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-212.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Parnu JK Vaprus scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Parnu JK Vaprus, JK Tallinna Kalev scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, JK Tallinna Kalev conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 JK Tallinna Kalev has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Parnu JK Vaprus playing at home.
👉 It is not a good time for JK Tallinna Kalev as home team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last home matches.
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Analysis from JK Tallinna Kalev x Parnu JK Vaprus for the Estonia Meistriliiga – 14 of June
🏟️ JK Tallinna Kalev X Parnu JK Vaprus – Estonia Meistriliiga
📅 14 of June, 2025 – 11:30
🔵 JK Tallinna Kalev – Winning probability: 7.41% | Fair line: 13.5
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 8.38% | Fair line: 11.93
🔴 Parnu JK Vaprus – Winning probability: 84.21% | Fair line: 1.19
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 JK Tallinna Kalev
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between JK Tallinna Kalev and Parnu JK Vaprus.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1340155 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for JK Tallinna Kalev x Parnu JK Vaprus
Is it worth betting on JK Tallinna Kalev?
🔵 JK Tallinna Kalev: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 7.41% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 70 times – this would give you a profit of $140.00
- And would lose other 930 times – losing -$930.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$790.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 8.38% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.72. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 80 times – this would give you a profit of $217.60
- And would have lost other 920 times – with a loss of -$920.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$702.40.
Should you bet on Parnu JK Vaprus?
🔴 Parnu JK Vaprus: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 84.21%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.97. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 840 times – profiting $814.80;
- And would lose other 160 times – losing -$160.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$654.80.
Handicaps analysis for the match JK Tallinna Kalev x Parnu JK Vaprus
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 JK Tallinna Kalev
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for JK Tallinna Kalev x Parnu JK Vaprus
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 JK Tallinna Kalev, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 JK Tallinna Kalev.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Parnu JK Vaprus.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for JK Tallinna Kalev x Parnu JK Vaprus
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.
