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Home » Predictions » Others » JK Trans Narva x Parnu JK Vaprus Betting tips for May 11 in Estonia Meistriliiga
Sunday, 11 May 2025, 14h00 Estonia Meistriliiga
JK Trans Narva JK Trans Narva
PREDICTION JK Trans Narva wins Probability 66% 1 X 2
Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus
ODD: @1.5 Don't miss this prediction!

JK Trans Narva x Parnu JK Vaprus Betting tips for May 11 in Estonia Meistriliiga

Our betting tip for JK Trans Narva x Parnu JK Vaprus, Sunday, 11/5/2025
📅 11/5/2025
14:00
JK Trans Narva JK Trans Narva
1.50
X
3.85
Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus
5.50

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for JK Trans Narva x Parnu JK Vaprus:

🔮 JK Trans Narva wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on JK Trans Narva, you can win up to $750.00!

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The main points for the tip for JK Trans Narva x Parnu JK Vaprus:

👉 If you had bet $100 on JK Trans Narva in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $241.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Parnu JK Vaprus in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $971.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, JK Trans Narva scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Parnu JK Vaprus matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 JK Trans Narva has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Parnu JK Vaprus playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from JK Trans Narva x Parnu JK Vaprus for the Estonia Meistriliiga – 11 of May

🏟️ JK Trans Narva X Parnu JK Vaprus – Estonia Meistriliiga
📅 11 of May, 2025 – 14:00
🔵 JK Trans Narva – Winning probability: 66.92% | Fair line: 1.49
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.63% | Fair line: 4.85
🔴 Parnu JK Vaprus – Winning probability: 12.45% | Fair line: 8.03
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 JK Trans Narva
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between JK Trans Narva and Parnu JK Vaprus.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1322631 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for JK Trans Narva x Parnu JK Vaprus

Is betting on JK Trans Narva worth it?

🔵 JK Trans Narva: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 66.92% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 670 times – this would give you a profit of $335.00
  • And would lose other 330 times – having a loss of -$330.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$5.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.63% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.85. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $598.50;
  • And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$191.50.

Is it worth betting on Parnu JK Vaprus?

🔴 Parnu JK Vaprus: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 12.45%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 120 times – having a profit of $540.00;
  • And would lose other 880 times – having a loss of -$880.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$340.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match JK Trans Narva x Parnu JK Vaprus

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 JK Trans Narva
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for JK Trans Narva x Parnu JK Vaprus

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 JK Trans Narva and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 JK Trans Narva.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Parnu JK Vaprus.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for JK Trans Narva x Parnu JK Vaprus

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.75 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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