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Home » Predictions » Others » Johor Darul Takzim x Shanghai Shenhua Betting tips for October 1 in AFC Champions League Elite
Tuesday, 01 October 2024, 09h00 AFC Champions League Elite
Johor Darul Takzim Johor Darul Takzim
PREDICTION Johor Darul Takzim wins Probability 51% 1 X 2
Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua
ODD: @2 Don't miss this prediction!

Johor Darul Takzim x Shanghai Shenhua Betting tips for October 1 in AFC Champions League Elite

Our betting tip for Johor Darul Takzim x Shanghai Shenhua, Tuesday, 1/10/2024
📅 1/10/2024
09:00
Johor Darul Takzim Johor Darul Takzim
2.00
X
3.60
Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua
3.11

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Johor Darul Takzim x Shanghai Shenhua:

🔮 Johor Darul Takzim wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Johor Darul Takzim, you can win up to $1000.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Johor Darul Takzim x Shanghai Shenhua:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Johor Darul Takzim in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $66.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Johor Darul Takzim scored at least 2.0 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Shanghai Shenhua scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 Johor Darul Takzim matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Johor Darul Takzim is good playing home: it has 7 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Johor Darul Takzim x Shanghai Shenhua?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Johor Darul Takzim x Shanghai Shenhua, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Johor Darul Takzim x Shanghai Shenhua for the AFC Champions League Elite – 1 of October

🏟️ Johor Darul Takzim X Shanghai Shenhua – AFC Champions League Elite
📅 1 of October, 2024 – 09:00
🔵 Johor Darul Takzim – Winning probability: 51.30% | Fair line: 1.95
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.98% | Fair line: 4.77
🔴 Shanghai Shenhua – Winning probability: 27.72% | Fair line: 3.61
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Johor Darul Takzim
⚽ Expected goals: 3.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Johor Darul Takzim and Shanghai Shenhua.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1192611 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Johor Darul Takzim x Shanghai Shenhua

Is it a good idea to bet on Johor Darul Takzim?

🔵 Johor Darul Takzim: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 51.3% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 510 times – this would give you a profit of $510.00
  • And would lose other 490 times – losing -$490.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$20.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.98%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $546.00
  • And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$244.00.

Should you bet on Shanghai Shenhua?

🔴 Shanghai Shenhua: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.72% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.11. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – profiting $590.80;
  • And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$129.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Johor Darul Takzim x Shanghai Shenhua

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Johor Darul Takzim
⚽ Expected goals: 3.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Johor Darul Takzim x Shanghai Shenhua

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Johor Darul Takzim and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Johor Darul Takzim.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Johor Darul Takzim.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Johor Darul Takzim x Shanghai Shenhua

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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