Joinville x Figueirense Betting tips for January 11 in Brazil Campeonato Catarinense
| 📅 11/1/2025 19:30 |
 Joinville2.84 |
X 2.89 |
Figueirense  2.42 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Joinville x Figueirense:
👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Joinville x Figueirense
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Some important points for the tip for Joinville x Figueirense: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Joinville in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. |
Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Joinville x Figueirense?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Joinville x Figueirense, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Joinville x Figueirense for the Brazil Campeonato Catarinense – 11 of January
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🏟️ Joinville X Figueirense – Brazil Campeonato Catarinense |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Joinville and Figueirense.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1244516 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Joinville x Figueirense
Is it a good idea to bet on Joinville?
🔵 Joinville: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 34.99% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.84. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 350 times – having a profit of $644.00;
- And would lose other 650 times – having a loss of -$650.00 with them.
It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$6.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.57%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.89. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $472.50
- And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$277.50.
Should you bet on Figueirense?
🔴 Figueirense: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 40.44% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.42. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 400 times – having a profit of $568.00;
- And would lose other 600 times – losing -$600.00 with them.
Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$32.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.
Handicaps analysis for the match Joinville x Figueirense
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Joinville
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Joinville x Figueirense
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Joinville, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Joinville.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Figueirense.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Joinville x Figueirense
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
