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Home » Predictions » Others » Jonsereds IF x Hittarps IK Betting tips for September 29 in Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 11h00 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland
Jonsereds IF Jonsereds IF
PREDICTION No tip
Hittarps IK Hittarps IK
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Jonsereds IF x Hittarps IK Betting tips for September 29 in Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland

Our betting tip for Jonsereds IF x Hittarps IK, Sunday, 29/9/2024
📅 29/9/2024
11:00
Jonsereds IF Jonsereds IF
1.72
X
4.00
Hittarps IK Hittarps IK
3.50

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Jonsereds IF x Hittarps IK:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Jonsereds IF x Hittarps IK

Important information for your tip for Jonsereds IF x Hittarps IK:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Jonsereds IF in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-15.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Hittarps IK in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Jonsereds IF scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 Hittarps IK matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Jonsereds IF conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Hittarps IK conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Jonsereds IF x Hittarps IK for the Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland – 29 of September

🏟️ Jonsereds IF X Hittarps IK – Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland
📅 29 of September, 2024 – 11:00
🔵 Jonsereds IF – Winning probability: 60.06% | Fair line: 1.66
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.10% | Fair line: 4.98
🔴 Hittarps IK – Winning probability: 19.84% | Fair line: 5.04
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Jonsereds IF
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Jonsereds IF x Hittarps IK is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1190630 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Jonsereds IF x Hittarps IK

Is betting on Jonsereds IF worth it?

🔵 Jonsereds IF: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 60.06%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.72. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 600 times – profiting $432.00;
  • And would lose other 400 times – losing -$400.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$32.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.1% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $600.00
  • And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$200.00.

Should you bet on Hittarps IK?

🔴 Hittarps IK: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.84% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $500.00;
  • And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$300.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Jonsereds IF x Hittarps IK

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Jonsereds IF
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Jonsereds IF x Hittarps IK

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Jonsereds IF, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Jonsereds IF.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Hittarps IK.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Jonsereds IF x Hittarps IK

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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