Juazeirense x EC Bahia Betting tips for February 5 in Brazil Copa Nordeste
| 📅 5/2/2025 22:00 |
 Juazeirense6.40 |
X 3.80 |
EC Bahia  1.46 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Juazeirense x EC Bahia:
🔮 EC Bahia wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on EC Bahia, you can win up to $730.00!
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The main points for the tip for Juazeirense x EC Bahia: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Juazeirense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. |
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Analysis from Juazeirense x EC Bahia for the Brazil Copa Nordeste – 5 of February
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🏟️ Juazeirense X EC Bahia – Brazil Copa Nordeste |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Juazeirense x EC Bahia right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1257906 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Juazeirense x EC Bahia
Is it a good idea to bet on Juazeirense?
🔵 Juazeirense: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 3.96% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 40 times – having a profit of $216.00;
- And would lose other 960 times – losing -$960.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$744.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 6.69% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 70 times – profiting $196.00;
- And would have lost other 930 times – with a loss of -$930.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$734.00.
Should you bet on EC Bahia?
🔴 EC Bahia: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 89.35% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.46. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 890 times – profiting $409.40;
- And would have lost other 110 times – with a loss of -$110.00 because of them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$299.40.
Handicaps analysis for the match Juazeirense x EC Bahia
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.25 Juazeirense
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Juazeirense x EC Bahia
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.25 Juazeirense and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.0 Juazeirense.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 EC Bahia.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Juazeirense x EC Bahia
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
