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Home » Predictions » Others » Junior x Once Caldas Betting tips for December 1 in Colombia Primera A
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 23h30 Colombia Primera A
Junior Junior
PREDICTION Junior wins Probability 60% 1 X 2
Once Caldas Once Caldas
ODD: @1.79 Don't miss this prediction!

Junior x Once Caldas Betting tips for December 1 in Colombia Primera A

Our betting tip for Junior x Once Caldas, Sunday, 1/12/2024
📅 1/12/2024
23:30
Junior Junior
1.79
X
3.20
Once Caldas Once Caldas
4.55

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Junior x Once Caldas:

🔮 Junior wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Junior, you can win up to $895.00!

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The main points for the tip for Junior x Once Caldas:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Junior in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $256.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Once Caldas in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 Junior did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Once Caldas, Junior scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Once Caldas conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Junior x Once Caldas for the Colombia Primera A – 1 of December

🏟️ Junior X Once Caldas – Colombia Primera A
📅 1 of December, 2024 – 23:30
🔵 Junior – Winning probability: 60.26% | Fair line: 1.66
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.15% | Fair line: 4.96
🔴 Once Caldas – Winning probability: 19.59% | Fair line: 5.1
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Junior
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Junior x Once Caldas right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1230541 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Junior x Once Caldas

Should you bet on Junior?

🔵 Junior: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 60.26%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.79. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 600 times – profiting $474.00;
  • And would lose other 400 times – losing -$400.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$74.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.15% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $440.00
  • And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$360.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Once Caldas?

🔴 Once Caldas: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.59%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.55. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 200 times – profiting $710.00;
  • And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$90.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Junior x Once Caldas

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Junior
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Junior x Once Caldas

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Junior, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Junior.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Junior.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Junior x Once Caldas

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 1.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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