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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Juticalpa x Olancho FC Betting tips for September 29 in Honduras Liga Nacional
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 22h30 Honduras Liga Nacional
Juticalpa Juticalpa
PREDICTION No tip
Olancho FC Olancho FC
Don't miss this prediction!

Juticalpa x Olancho FC Betting tips for September 29 in Honduras Liga Nacional

Our betting tip for Juticalpa x Olancho FC, Sunday, 29/9/2024
πŸ“… 29/9/2024
22:30
Juticalpa Juticalpa
3.08
X
3.01
Olancho FC Olancho FC
2.17

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Juticalpa x Olancho FC:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Juticalpa x Olancho FC

The main points for the tip for Juticalpa x Olancho FC:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Juticalpa in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-85.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Olancho FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 Juticalpa matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Juticalpa x Olancho FC?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Juticalpa x Olancho FC:

Analysis from Juticalpa x Olancho FC for the Honduras Liga Nacional – 29 of September

🏟️ Juticalpa X Olancho FC – Honduras Liga Nacional
πŸ“… 29 of September, 2024 – 22:30
πŸ”΅ Juticalpa – Winning probability: 16.16% | Fair line: 6.19
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.80% | Fair line: 3.25
πŸ”΄ Olancho FC – Winning probability: 53.04% | Fair line: 1.89
βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Juticalpa
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Juticalpa x Olancho FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1191083 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Juticalpa x Olancho FC

Should you bet on Juticalpa?

πŸ”΅ Juticalpa: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.16% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.08. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $332.80
  • And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$507.20.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.8% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.01. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – profiting $623.10;
  • And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$66.90.

Is it a good idea to bet on Olancho FC?

πŸ”΄ Olancho FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 53.04%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.17. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 530 times – this would give you a profit of $620.10
  • And would have lost other 470 times – with a loss of -$470.00 because of them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$150.10. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

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Handicaps analysis for the match Juticalpa x Olancho FC

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Juticalpa
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Juticalpa x Olancho FC

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Juticalpa, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Juticalpa.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Juticalpa.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Juticalpa x Olancho FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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