Juve Stabia x Pisa Betting tips for September 29 in Italy Serie B

Our betting tip for Juve Stabia x Pisa, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 10:00

Juve Stabia 2.80

X 3.10

Pisa 2.50

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Juve Stabia x Pisa:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Juve Stabia x Pisa

The main points for the tip for Juve Stabia x Pisa: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Juve Stabia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-27.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Pisa in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $120.0. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Juve Stabia scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Pisa scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 road matches, Pisa has not lost any of them.

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Analysis from Juve Stabia x Pisa for the Italy Serie B – 29 of September

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Juve Stabia and Pisa.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Juve Stabia x Pisa

Is it worth betting on Juve Stabia?

🔵 Juve Stabia: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.5% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $504.00;
• And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$216.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.31% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $651.00
• And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$39.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it a good idea to bet on Pisa?

🔴 Pisa: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 41.19% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 410 times – this would give you a profit of $615.00
• And would lose other 590 times – losing -$590.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$25.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Juve Stabia x Pisa

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Juve Stabia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Juve Stabia x Pisa

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Juve Stabia, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Juve Stabia.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Pisa.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Juve Stabia x Pisa

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.