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Home » Predictions » Others » Juvenes/Dogana x Tre Penne Betting tips for January 11 in San Marino Campionato
Saturday, 11 January 2025, 17h00 San Marino Campionato
Juvenes/Dogana Juvenes/Dogana
PREDICTION Tre Penne Wins Probability 81% 1 X 2
Tre Penne Tre Penne
ODD: @1.41 Don't miss this prediction!

Juvenes/Dogana x Tre Penne Betting tips for January 11 in San Marino Campionato

Our betting tip for Juvenes/Dogana x Tre Penne, Saturday, 11/1/2025
📅 11/1/2025
17:00
Juvenes/Dogana Juvenes/Dogana
5.60
X
4.20
Tre Penne Tre Penne
1.41

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Juvenes/Dogana x Tre Penne:

🔮 Tre Penne wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Tre Penne, you can win up to $705.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Juvenes/Dogana x Tre Penne:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Juvenes/Dogana in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-372.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Tre Penne scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Juvenes/Dogana conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Tre Penne.
👉 In the last 8 road matches, Tre Penne has not lost any of them.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Juvenes/Dogana x Tre Penne?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2025. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Juvenes/Dogana x Tre Penne for the San Marino Campionato – 11 of January

🏟️ Juvenes/Dogana X Tre Penne – San Marino Campionato
📅 11 of January, 2025 – 17:00
🔵 Juvenes/Dogana – Winning probability: 5.28% | Fair line: 18.95
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 13.08% | Fair line: 7.65
🔴 Tre Penne – Winning probability: 81.64% | Fair line: 1.22
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Juvenes/Dogana
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Juvenes/Dogana and Tre Penne.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1244516 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Juvenes/Dogana x Tre Penne

Is betting on Juvenes/Dogana worth it?

🔵 Juvenes/Dogana: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 5.28%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 50 times – having a profit of $230.00;
  • And would lose other 950 times – having a loss of -$950.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$720.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 13.08% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 130 times – having a profit of $416.00;
  • And would lose other 870 times – having a loss of -$870.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$454.00.

Is it worth betting on Tre Penne?

🔴 Tre Penne: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 81.64%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.41. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 820 times – having a profit of $336.20;
  • And would lose other 180 times – losing -$180.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$156.20.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Juvenes/Dogana x Tre Penne

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Juvenes/Dogana
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Juvenes/Dogana x Tre Penne

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 Juvenes/Dogana and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.0 Juvenes/Dogana.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.0 Juvenes/Dogana.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Juvenes/Dogana x Tre Penne

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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