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Juventud Unida San Miguel x Argentino de Rosario Betting tips for November 23 in Argentina Primera D Metropolitana

Our betting tip for Juventud Unida San Miguel x Argentino de Rosario, Thursday, 23/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 23/11/2023
20:00
Juventud Unida San Miguel Juventud Unida San Miguel
3.22
X
2.97
Argentino de Rosario Argentino de Rosario
2.25

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Juventud Unida San Miguel x Argentino de Rosario:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Argentino de Rosario wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Argentino de Rosario, you can win up to $1125.00!

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Important information for your tip for Juventud Unida San Miguel x Argentino de Rosario:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Juventud Unida San Miguel in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $28.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Argentino de Rosario in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-71.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Argentino de Rosario, Juventud Unida San Miguel scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Juventud Unida San Miguel matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Argentino de Rosario conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Juventud Unida San Miguel conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Argentino de Rosario.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Juventud Unida San Miguel x Argentino de Rosario

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Summary

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Analysis from Juventud Unida San Miguel x Argentino de Rosario for the Argentina Primera D Metropolitana – 23 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Juventud Unida San Miguel X Argentino de Rosario – Argentina Primera D Metropolitana
๐Ÿ“… 23 of November, 2023 – 20:00
๐Ÿ”ต Juventud Unida San Miguel – Winning probability: 20.53% | Fair line: 4.87
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 31.09% | Fair line: 3.22
๐Ÿ”ด Argentino de Rosario – Winning probability: 48.39% | Fair line: 2.07
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Juventud Unida San Miguel
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Juventud Unida San Miguel x Argentino de Rosario is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1024437 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Juventud Unida San Miguel x Argentino de Rosario

Is it worth betting on Juventud Unida San Miguel?

๐Ÿ”ต Juventud Unida San Miguel: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.53% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.22. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $466.20;
  • And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$323.80.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.09% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.97. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – profiting $610.70;
  • And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$79.30.

Is betting on Argentino de Rosario worth it?

๐Ÿ”ด Argentino de Rosario: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 48.39%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 480 times – this would give you a profit of $600.00
  • And would lose other 520 times – losing -$520.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$80.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Juventud Unida San Miguel x Argentino de Rosario

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Juventud Unida San Miguel
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Juventud Unida San Miguel x Argentino de Rosario

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Juventud Unida San Miguel, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Juventud Unida San Miguel.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Argentino de Rosario.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Juventud Unida San Miguel x Argentino de Rosario

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves