📊 Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Juventude Evora x Imortal DC
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Analysis from Juventude Evora x Imortal DC for the Portugal Campeonato Nacional – 16 of January
🏟️ Juventude Evora X Imortal DC – Portugal Campeonato Nacional
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Juventude Evora and Imortal DC.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 288046 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Juventude Evora x Imortal DC
Is it worth betting on Juventude Evora?
🔵 Juventude Evora: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 54.49% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.94. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 540 times – profiting $504.90;
- And would lose other 460 times – having a loss of -$460.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$44.90.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.64%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.15. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $580.50;
- And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$149.50.
Is betting on Imortal DC worth it?
🔴 Imortal DC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.87% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.73. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 190 times – profiting $517.75;
- And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$292.25.
Handicaps analysis for the match Juventude Evora x Imortal DC
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Juventude Evora
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Juventude Evora x Imortal DC
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Juventude Evora, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Juventude Evora.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Imortal DC.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Juventude Evora x Imortal DC
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves