📊 Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Juventus x Sampdoria
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Analysis from Juventus x Sampdoria for the Coppa Italia – 18 of January
🏟️ Juventus X Sampdoria – Coppa Italia
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Juventus and Sampdoria.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 289715 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Juventus x Sampdoria
Is betting on Juventus worth it?
🔵 Juventus: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 93.74% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.36. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 940 times – having a profit of $338.40;
- And would lose other 60 times – losing -$60.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$278.40.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 2.49% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.83. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 20 times – profiting $76.50;
- And would have lost other 980 times – with a loss of -$980.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$903.50.
Is betting on Sampdoria worth it?
🔴 Sampdoria: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 3.77%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 7.03. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 40 times – profiting $241.20;
- And would lose other 960 times – losing -$960.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$718.80.
Handicaps analysis for the match Juventus x Sampdoria
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Juventus
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Juventus x Sampdoria
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.5 Juventus, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 Juventus.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 Juventus.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Juventus x Sampdoria
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
Our tips are also on YouTube
Our tipsters are also on our betting tips channel on YouTube analysing the main bets for Tuesday. Right above you can check our latest predictions and do not forget to subscribe to our channel!
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves