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22/1/2022 13:00 |
 Kaiserslautern1.68 |
X 3.60 |
Viktoria 89 Berlin  4.60 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Kaiserslautern x Viktoria 89 Berlin:
๐ฎ Kaiserslautern wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Kaiserslautern, you can win up to $840.00!
๐ Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Kaiserslautern x Viktoria 89 Berlin
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Analysis from Kaiserslautern x Viktoria 89 Berlin for the Germany 3.Liga – 22 of January
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๐๏ธ Kaiserslautern X Viktoria 89 Berlin – Germany 3.Liga |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Kaiserslautern x Viktoria 89 Berlin right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 290605 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Kaiserslautern x Viktoria 89 Berlin
Is it a good idea to bet on Kaiserslautern?
๐ต Kaiserslautern: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 68.86% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.68. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 690 times – having a profit of $469.20;
- And would lose other 310 times – losing -$310.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$159.20.
Should you bet on draw?
โช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.83% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 180 times – profiting $468.00;
- And would lose other 820 times – having a loss of -$820.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$352.00.
Is it worth betting on Viktoria 89 Berlin?
๐ด Viktoria 89 Berlin: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 13.31% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 130 times – having a profit of $468.00;
- And would lose other 870 times – having a loss of -$870.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐ฐ-$402.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Kaiserslautern x Viktoria 89 Berlin
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
โ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Kaiserslautern
โฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Kaiserslautern x Viktoria 89 Berlin
โ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Kaiserslautern, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Kaiserslautern.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Kaiserslautern x Viktoria 89 Berlin
โฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
