Kalmar FF x Trelleborgs FF Betting tips for May 11 in Sweden Superettan

Our betting tip for Kalmar FF x Trelleborgs FF, Sunday, 11/5/2025

📅 11/5/2025 13:00

Kalmar FF 1.52

X 4.05

Trelleborgs FF 5.26

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Kalmar FF x Trelleborgs FF:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Kalmar FF x Trelleborgs FF

Important information for your tip for Kalmar FF x Trelleborgs FF: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Kalmar FF in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-17.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Trelleborgs FF in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-275.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Kalmar FF scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Trelleborgs FF, Kalmar FF scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Trelleborgs FF matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Kalmar FF x Trelleborgs FF, with Kalmar FF as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Playing as the home team, Kalmar FF conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Trelleborgs FF. 👉 Kalmar FF has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Trelleborgs FF playing at home.

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Analysis from Kalmar FF x Trelleborgs FF for the Sweden Superettan – 11 of May

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Kalmar FF x Trelleborgs FF right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1322631 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Kalmar FF x Trelleborgs FF

Is it a good idea to bet on Kalmar FF?

🔵 Kalmar FF: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 65.45% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.52. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 650 times – having a profit of $338.00;
• And would have lost other 350 times – with a loss of -$350.00 because of them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$12.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.22% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.05. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 190 times – this would give you a profit of $579.50
• And would have lost other 810 times – with a loss of -$810.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$230.50.

Is it worth betting on Trelleborgs FF?

🔴 Trelleborgs FF: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.33% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.26. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $639.00;
• And would lose other 850 times – losing -$850.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$211.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Kalmar FF x Trelleborgs FF

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Kalmar FF
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Kalmar FF x Trelleborgs FF

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Kalmar FF and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Kalmar FF.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Kalmar FF.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Kalmar FF x Trelleborgs FF

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.