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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Kamaz Nab Chelny x Shinnik Yaroslavl Betting tips for September 29 in Russia Division 1
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 11h30 Russia Division 1
Kamaz Nab Chelny Kamaz Nab Chelny
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 37% 1 X 2
Shinnik Yaroslavl Shinnik Yaroslavl
ODD: @3 Don't miss this prediction!

Kamaz Nab Chelny x Shinnik Yaroslavl Betting tips for September 29 in Russia Division 1

Our betting tip for Kamaz Nab Chelny x Shinnik Yaroslavl, Sunday, 29/9/2024
๐Ÿ“… 29/9/2024
11:30
Kamaz Nab Chelny Kamaz Nab Chelny
2.08
X
3.00
Shinnik Yaroslavl Shinnik Yaroslavl
3.45

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Kamaz Nab Chelny x Shinnik Yaroslavl:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tied Match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1500.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Kamaz Nab Chelny x Shinnik Yaroslavl:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Kamaz Nab Chelny in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-272.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Shinnik Yaroslavl in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Kamaz Nab Chelny conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 road matches, Shinnik Yaroslavl has not lost any of them.
๐Ÿ‘‰ It is not a good time for Kamaz Nab Chelny as home team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last home matches.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Kamaz Nab Chelny x Shinnik Yaroslavl?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Kamaz Nab Chelny x Shinnik Yaroslavl:

Analysis from Kamaz Nab Chelny x Shinnik Yaroslavl for the Russia Division 1 – 29 of September

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Kamaz Nab Chelny X Shinnik Yaroslavl – Russia Division 1
๐Ÿ“… 29 of September, 2024 – 11:30
๐Ÿ”ต Kamaz Nab Chelny – Winning probability: 39.49% | Fair line: 2.53
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 37.19% | Fair line: 2.69
๐Ÿ”ด Shinnik Yaroslavl – Winning probability: 23.33% | Fair line: 4.29
โš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Kamaz Nab Chelny
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Kamaz Nab Chelny x Shinnik Yaroslavl right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1190630 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Kamaz Nab Chelny x Shinnik Yaroslavl

Is it worth betting on Kamaz Nab Chelny?

๐Ÿ”ต Kamaz Nab Chelny: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 39.49% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.08. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 390 times – profiting $421.20;
  • And would lose other 610 times – losing -$610.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$188.80.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 37.19% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 370 times – this would give you a profit of $740.00
  • And would have lost other 630 times – with a loss of -$630.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$110.00.

Is it worth betting on Shinnik Yaroslavl?

๐Ÿ”ด Shinnik Yaroslavl: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.33% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.45. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – profiting $563.50;
  • And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$206.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Kamaz Nab Chelny x Shinnik Yaroslavl

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Kamaz Nab Chelny
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Kamaz Nab Chelny x Shinnik Yaroslavl

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Kamaz Nab Chelny, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Kamaz Nab Chelny.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Shinnik Yaroslavl.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Kamaz Nab Chelny x Shinnik Yaroslavl

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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