| π
16/1/2022 10:00 |
 Karaman Belediyespor2.75 |
X 3.02 |
Catalca Spor  2.42 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Karaman Belediyespor x Catalca Spor:
π Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Karaman Belediyespor x Catalca Spor
π You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Karaman Belediyespor x Catalca Spor
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Analysis from Karaman Belediyespor x Catalca Spor for the Turkey 3.Lig Group 1 – 16 of January
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ποΈ Karaman Belediyespor X Catalca Spor – Turkey 3.Lig Group 1 |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Karaman Belediyespor and Catalca Spor.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 288046 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Karaman Belediyespor x Catalca Spor
Is betting on Karaman Belediyespor worth it?
π΅ Karaman Belediyespor: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.03% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $542.50;
- And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of π°-$147.50.
Is it worth betting on draw?
βͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.42% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.02. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $648.00;
- And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of π°-$32.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Catalca Spor?
π΄ Catalca Spor: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 36.55% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.42. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 370 times – this would give you a profit of $525.40
- And would lose other 630 times – having a loss of -$630.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of π°-$104.60.
Handicaps analysis for the match Karaman Belediyespor x Catalca Spor
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
β Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Karaman Belediyespor
β½ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Karaman Belediyespor x Catalca Spor
β Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Karaman Belediyespor and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Karaman Belediyespor.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Catalca Spor.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Karaman Belediyespor x Catalca Spor
β½ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
