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Home » Predictions » Others » Karaman x Serik Belediyespor Betting tips for March 9 in Türkiye 2 Lig Kirmizi
Sunday, 09 March 2025, 11h00 Türkiye 2 Lig Kirmizi
Karaman Karaman
PREDICTION Serik Belediyespor Wins Probability 74% 1 X 2
Serik Belediyespor Serik Belediyespor
ODD: @1.57 Don't miss this prediction!

Karaman x Serik Belediyespor Betting tips for March 9 in Türkiye 2 Lig Kirmizi

Our betting tip for Karaman x Serik Belediyespor, Sunday, 9/3/2025
📅 9/3/2025
11:00
Karaman Karaman
5.00
X
3.50
Serik Belediyespor Serik Belediyespor
1.57

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Karaman x Serik Belediyespor:

🔮 Serik Belediyespor wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Serik Belediyespor, you can win up to $785.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Karaman x Serik Belediyespor:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Karaman in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Serik Belediyespor in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $377.0.
👉 In the last 6 Karaman matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

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Analysis from Karaman x Serik Belediyespor for the Türkiye 2 Lig Kirmizi – 9 of March

🏟️ Karaman X Serik Belediyespor – Türkiye 2 Lig Kirmizi
📅 9 of March, 2025 – 11:00
🔵 Karaman – Winning probability: 7.09% | Fair line: 14.09
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 18.58% | Fair line: 5.38
🔴 Serik Belediyespor – Winning probability: 74.33% | Fair line: 1.35
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Karaman
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Karaman x Serik Belediyespor is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1277138 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Karaman x Serik Belediyespor

Is it a good idea to bet on Karaman?

🔵 Karaman: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 7.09% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 70 times – profiting $280.00;
  • And would have lost other 930 times – with a loss of -$930.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$650.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 18.58%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $475.00;
  • And would have lost other 810 times – with a loss of -$810.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$335.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Serik Belediyespor?

🔴 Serik Belediyespor: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 74.33% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.57. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 740 times – having a profit of $421.80;
  • And would lose other 260 times – having a loss of -$260.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$161.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Karaman x Serik Belediyespor

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Karaman
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Karaman x Serik Belediyespor

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Karaman, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.75 Karaman.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.75 Karaman.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Karaman x Serik Belediyespor

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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