Karlbergs BK x Umea FC Betting tips for September 29 in Sweden 1.div Norra

Our betting tip for Karlbergs BK x Umea FC, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 10:00

Karlbergs BK 3.56

X 3.70

Umea FC 1.80

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Karlbergs BK x Umea FC:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Karlbergs BK x Umea FC

Important information for your tip for Karlbergs BK x Umea FC: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Karlbergs BK in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $600.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Umeå FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $66.0. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Karlbergs BK scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Umeå FC scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 Karlbergs BK matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Karlbergs BK conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Umeå FC conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from Karlbergs BK x Umea FC for the Sweden 1.div Norra – 29 of September

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Karlbergs BK and Umea FC.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1190630 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Karlbergs BK x Umea FC

Is it a good idea to bet on Karlbergs BK?

🔵 Karlbergs BK: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.73% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.56. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $537.60
• And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$252.40.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.6%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 250 times – profiting $675.00;
• And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$75.00.

Is betting on Umea FC worth it?

🔴 Umea FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 54.67% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 550 times – profiting $440.00;
• And would have lost other 450 times – with a loss of -$450.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$10.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Handicaps analysis for the match Karlbergs BK x Umea FC

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Karlbergs BK
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Karlbergs BK x Umea FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 Karlbergs BK and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Karlbergs BK.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Umea FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Karlbergs BK x Umea FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.00 goals.