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Karsiyaka x Esenler Erokspor Betting tips for January 16 in Turkey 3.Lig Group 3

Our betting tip for Karsiyaka x Esenler Erokspor, Sunday, 16/1/2022
๐Ÿ“… 16/1/2022
10:00
Karsiyaka
3.62
X
3.04
Esenler Erokspor
1.99

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Karsiyaka x Esenler Erokspor:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tied Match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1517.50!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Karsiyaka x Esenler Erokspor

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Karsiyaka x Esenler Erokspor?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best bookies from 2022, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Karsiyaka x Esenler Erokspor:

Analysis from Karsiyaka x Esenler Erokspor for the Turkey 3.Lig Group 3 – 16 of January

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Karsiyaka X Esenler Erokspor – Turkey 3.Lig Group 3
๐Ÿ“… 16 of January, 2022 – 10:00
๐Ÿ”ต Karsiyaka – Winning probability: 15.99% | Fair line: 6.25
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 36.32% | Fair line: 2.75
๐Ÿ”ด Esenler Erokspor – Winning probability: 47.69% | Fair line: 2.1
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Karsiyaka
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Karsiyaka x Esenler Erokspor right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 288046 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Karsiyaka x Esenler Erokspor

Should you bet on Karsiyaka?

๐Ÿ”ต Karsiyaka: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.99%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.62. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $420.00
  • And would lose other 840 times – having a loss of -$840.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$420.00.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 36.32% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.04. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 360 times – having a profit of $732.60;
  • And would have lost other 640 times – with a loss of -$640.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$92.60.

Should you bet on Esenler Erokspor?

๐Ÿ”ด Esenler Erokspor: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 47.69% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.99. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 480 times – this would give you a profit of $475.20
  • And would have lost other 520 times – with a loss of -$520.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$44.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Karsiyaka x Esenler Erokspor

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Karsiyaka
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Karsiyaka x Esenler Erokspor

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Karsiyaka and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Karsiyaka. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Karsiyaka x Esenler Erokspor

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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You can check out our tips on YouTube

Keep in mind that our team of bettors is daily on YouTube with complete videos of analysis for the best matches of the day. Check out our bets for this Sunday right above and subscribe to our betting tips channel.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves