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Home » Predictions » Others » Kataller Toyama x Nagoya Grampus Betting tips for April 16 in Japan J-League Cup
Wednesday, 16 April 2025, 10h00 Japan J-League Cup
Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama
PREDICTION Kataller Toyama wins Probability 39% 1 X 2
Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus
ODD: @2.88 Don't miss this prediction!

Kataller Toyama x Nagoya Grampus Betting tips for April 16 in Japan J-League Cup

Our betting tip for Kataller Toyama x Nagoya Grampus, Wednesday, 16/4/2025
📅 16/4/2025
10:00
Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama
2.88
X
3.18
Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus
2.26

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Kataller Toyama x Nagoya Grampus:

🔮 Kataller Toyama wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Kataller Toyama, you can win up to $1440.00!

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Important information for your tip for Kataller Toyama x Nagoya Grampus:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Kataller Toyama in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $520.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Nagoya Grampus in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-347.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Kataller Toyama conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Kataller Toyama x Nagoya Grampus for the Japan J-League Cup – 16 of April

🏟️ Kataller Toyama X Nagoya Grampus – Japan J-League Cup
📅 16 of April, 2025 – 10:00
🔵 Kataller Toyama – Winning probability: 39.17% | Fair line: 2.55
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 16.82% | Fair line: 5.94
🔴 Nagoya Grampus – Winning probability: 44.00% | Fair line: 2.27
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Kataller Toyama
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Kataller Toyama x Nagoya Grampus is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1304980 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Kataller Toyama x Nagoya Grampus

Is it worth betting on Kataller Toyama?

🔵 Kataller Toyama: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 39.17% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.88. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 390 times – having a profit of $733.20;
  • And would lose other 610 times – having a loss of -$610.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$123.20.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.82% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.18. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $370.60
  • And would lose other 830 times – having a loss of -$830.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$459.40.

Should you bet on Nagoya Grampus?

🔴 Nagoya Grampus: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 44.0% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.26. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 440 times – having a profit of $554.40;
  • And would have lost other 560 times – with a loss of -$560.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$5.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Kataller Toyama x Nagoya Grampus

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Kataller Toyama
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Kataller Toyama x Nagoya Grampus

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Kataller Toyama and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Kataller Toyama.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Kataller Toyama.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Kataller Toyama x Nagoya Grampus

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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